Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Five Conclusions From Kerala By-Election Results

The opposition United Democratic Front (UDF) has retained all the three seats in the by-elections held on November 7th. A P Abdullakutty, Dominic Presentation and A A Shakoor of Indian National Congress won with handsome majority from Kannur, Ernakulam and Allapuzha assembly constituencies. What are the major conclusions that can be drawn from these results?

1 – People of Kerala are Fed Up of LDF Government led by V S Achuthananthan

Read the results of recently held Lok Sabha elections and this by-elections together – one thing is clear – people are fed up with this non performing government. They want more action than just promises from Chief Minister and other ministers.

2 – A Clear Verdict Against CPI(M) Leadership

The highhandedness of the present CPI (M) leadership is well known. The general attitude of the CPI(M) leadership is to silence the critics of the party by any means. This together with the extravagant life style and the recent corruption charges against top leadership of the party has caused resentment within the party members. This is clearly reflected in the results.

3 – Non-existence of Communal Parties like Madhani’s PDP

Every elections lot of parties with no followers but only leaders claim that they have power to influence the result and make a big hue and cry. Last election to the Lok Sabha the LDF-PDP alliance was a big election issue. The performance of PDP in Allapuzha should be an eye opener for all the major political parties in Kerala about the real strength of parties like PDP.

4 – There is Political Life for Those Coming Out of CPI(M)

Victory of A P Abdullakutty should encourage other leader of CPI(M) who are dissatisfied with the stone age development policy and arrogant leadership of CPI(M) to come out of the party. With the exception of M V Raghavan and K R Gouri Amma, whoever has come out/expelled from CPI (M) never had any political future. Abdullakutty by his victory in this by-election is going to change this track record. One may see more CPI(M) leaders/party workers coming out that party and joining parties like Congress.

5 – Change of Government in the Cards

By the way things are going history is going to repeat again in Kerala in 2011. LDF will be voted out and UDF will be back to power a trend that is being seen in the state for more than 30 years now.

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Blogger scorpiogenius said...

The win in Kannur must hurt the commies a lot. They tried all sort of shameless tactics to win the elections in Kannur, and the people have taught them a lesson.

November 10, 2009 8:03 AM  
Blogger keralafarmer said...

അബ്ദുള്ളക്കുട്ടിയെപ്പോലെ കഴിവുള്ള ഒരു സ്ഥാനാര്‍ത്ഥിക്ക് അവസരം നല്‍കിക്കൊണ്ട് വിജയം മാത്രമല്ല കൂടുതല്‍ വോട്ട് നേടിയെടുക്കുവാനും അവസരമൊരുക്കിയതില്‍ കോണ്‍ഗ്രസിന് അഭിമാനിക്കാം. ചെന്നെത്തുന്നത് ഇടത് കൌരവപ്പടക്കൊപ്പം.

November 10, 2009 8:21 AM  
Blogger JOSEPH said...

few more conclusions
erstwhile silent non voting educated youth has come forward to vote

November 18, 2009 4:41 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

UDF just retained their seats which they won even when LDF won the whole state handsomely in 2006, right?

November 21, 2009 6:27 AM  
Blogger Dr. Unnikrishnan. T said...

Hi All,
This seems to be a politically motivated article. Brijesh, all the conclusions drawn by you are dreams. politics is ever changing and what all things a government do in KERALA, there will be a change in next election. remember 1957 EMS Ministry and 1987 Nayanar Ministry. In 1991 one year after the LDF got thumping majority in 13 out of 14 district panchayaths, they lost 100 seats in assebmly election. what bad thing has that ministry done in the 6 months??? can any one explain.
Can dear farmer explain what "Kazhivu" you have identified in abdulla kutty? can you quantify it or qualify it??? is it because he walked out of CPM????
see all the three seat belonged to UDF, they retained, there was a negative vote factor. reason is simple....
never look for the statements that are made by leaders befor eelection and after election. will nay loser (including your favourite sashi Tharoor and K. Sudakaran) will glorify the winner in POLITICS???? before election all will say they will win to keep the confidence. never take that in that spirit, you are an engineer.....
are you still beleive that there is no influence of communal forces in kerala??? what about muslim leauge, Kerala Congress groups (not counting pillai group as that is father and son game). Does the leage have a 100 hindu leaders in the district level (they MAY have 1 or 2 in the list to show their secularism). what about Kerala Congress???? isnt it true that the groups are sponsored by clergy groups?????
will UDF openly say that they dont need communal votes??? they dont need madani???? they oppose NDF????
dear scorpio, win in Kannur wont hurt those who know things. it is a regular win..... just ordinary....

Dear Farmer, dont treat LDF and UDF as kowravar or pandavar, devan or asuran...... these are all part of politics. unless you are part of these politics and you be in one side get involved to another extend, you will be cutting a sorry figure for sure..........
if you identify urselfs with some one, strong views are good.
till 3 months before VS was a great man to all. now what bhappended???? till rhat time VS was good and the bad was pinarayi???? pettannu VS mosam ayathu enthanu????? elcetion varunnu allleeee. manassilavanulla budhi ellarkkum undu.......

December 01, 2009 6:18 PM  

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