Trivandrum Loksabha byelections-Who will be the winner?
I always loved to be in Trivandrum when campaigning for elections take place . The announcement by vehicles about the various candidates, posters all over the place, daily speeches by politicians in Gandhi Park daily during election time all attract me.
I am very sad that I cannot be part of the campaign for the Trivandrum Loksabha byelection to be held on 18th of this month. I have casted my vote 3 times for Loksabha elections(1996, 1998 and 1999). I couldn't vote last time as I am in US. This time also I will miss my valuable vote.
The main contest for this election is between Congress candidate Mr V S Shivakumar and CPI leader Panniyan Ravindran. BJP has fielded the former state President C K Padmanabhan as its candidate. I was thinking a lot about the relevance of this election and how much importance the residents of Trivandrum should give to this election.
Both the Congress and CPI(M) are doing lot of mud slugging during this campaign. The funny thing is that who ever wins this election will go on and support Dr Manmohan Singh's government. Thus by making allegations and counter allegations these parties are taking the voters for a ride. If a common man ask the question "Why should I vote for this election?" I don't think it is irrevalent.
Both fronts do not have any values or principles and they are making mockery of democracy. When Omman Chandy denied Mr Balakrishna Pillai's ministerial berth he went nuke and corner of Kerala bombarding Congress and Omman Chandy. Now he is back in UDF and campaigning for Congress. Not long ago CPI (M) was spitting venom on Karunakaran ( CPI (M) never used to tell K Karunakaran, but always use to tell "Kalla Karunakaran"). Now these same people have no shame to share dais with Leader.
Now coming to my prediction of election results-I believe the polling percentage will be much low (around 60%) because the common man wont come to vote as he doesn't see any relevance to this election. I believe LDF will get around 50,000 votes due to its alliance with DIC and another 50,000 votes due to the strong anti incumbency prevailing in the state against the Congress government. BJP which had secured about 2.25 lakh votes last time should get around 1 lakh votes. The remaining votes should go to UDF and LDF by a ration of 3:1. This means LDF should win by a margin of between 50,000 to 1 lakh votes.
Predictions apart, let us hope whoever wins will serve the people of Trivandrum with dedication and sincerity (do politicians know the meaning of these words????)
Whoever is the winner, the loser will be the common man